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Red69
205437.6
828519.9
79118.9
Blue92
608135.5
365818.9
85820.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728140601001206992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.1
37.437.5
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
red by 2.1
6081
#15
35.50.4
34.534.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
8285
#23
19.90.1
19.719.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 0.9
858
#5
20.80.4
19.720.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
7911
#22
8.90.1
8.88.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 10.0
3658
#29
18.90.4
17.818.2
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End3.0