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Red40
72034.9
52606.9
400425.3
Blue28
972116.6
96716.7
839713.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392901020506070804028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#12
25.30.1
21.421.4
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 8.7
9721
#30
16.60.3
12.612.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Second
5260
#37
6.90.1
9.59.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 6.2
8397
#16
13.20.3
10.29.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Third
7203
#36
4.90.1
2.92.9
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
blue by 1.8
9671
#35
6.70.3
4.84.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed