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Red56
95429.1
974211.1
205437.6
Blue64
72106.7
608135.5
323416.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516202040801001205664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.2
32.732.9
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
red by 2.1
6081
#15
35.50.6
30.531.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
9742
#38
11.10.2
9.69.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.6
blue by 5.9
3234
#21
16.90.6
17.217.8
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
9542
#33
9.10.2
5.35.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 2.4
7210
#27
6.70.6
7.37.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed