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Red48
24426.8
72106.7
724810.0
Blue26
974211.1
323416.9
96388.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45422030506070804826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#11
26.80.4
24.024.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 9.9
3234
#21
16.90.8
17.816.9
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Second
7248
#32
10.00.4
8.58.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 1.0
9742
#38
11.10.8
9.99.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Third
7210
#27
6.70.4
7.98.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 1.9
9638
#31
8.60.8
10.69.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed