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Red17
96388.6
956617.8
95497.4
Blue54
975611.8
920823.7
839713.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34540204060801001201754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#14
17.81.1
14.613.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 5.9
23.70.4
23.523.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
9638
#31
8.61.1
9.88.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 4.5
8397
#16
13.20.4
11.612.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Third
9549
#39
7.41.1
8.67.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 4.4
9756
#25
11.80.4
11.612.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed