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Red73
505619.7
839713.2
205437.6
Blue59
28820.9
546217.0
608135.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6671204060801001207359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.9
33.033.9
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
red by 2.1
6081
#15
35.50.3
31.831.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
5056
#17
19.70.9
15.116.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 1.2
288
#13
20.90.3
19.018.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End2.2
Third
8397
#16
13.20.9
12.012.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 3.8
5462
#24
17.00.3
13.212.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed