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Red49
612817.2
87678.8
85820.8
Blue52
92069.1
972116.6
277119.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394702060801001201404952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#5
20.80.9
14.114.9
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End2.4
red by 1.1
19.70.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Second
6128
#19
17.20.9
14.215.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
red by 0.5
9721
#30
16.60.0
13.313.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
8767
#28
8.80.9
7.78.5
Auto1.4
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 0.3
9206
#20
9.10.0
7.07.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed