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Red50
828519.9
277119.7
95429.1
Blue65
920823.7
765814.6
956617.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4955204060801005065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8285
#23
19.90.4
16.316.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 3.8
23.70.3
24.324.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
19.70.4
21.121.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End0.9
red by 1.8
9566
#14
17.80.3
14.314.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
9542
#33
9.10.4
7.37.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 5.5
7658
#18
14.60.3
10.110.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned