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Red39
24426.8
87678.8
96716.7
Blue67
365818.9
765814.6
387522.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444330405060703967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#11
26.80.1
25.325.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 4.6
22.21.9
17.619.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Second
8767
#28
8.80.1
8.58.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 10.1
3658
#29
18.91.9
11.113.0
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End3.0
Third
9671
#35
6.70.1
6.26.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
blue by 7.9
7658
#18
14.61.9
10.412.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned