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Red31
52606.9
972116.6
612817.2
Blue31
828519.9
975611.8
974211.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403920253035455055603131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6128
#19
17.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 2.7
8285
#23
19.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Second
9721
#30
16.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 4.8
9756
#25
11.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
5260
#37
6.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 4.1
9742
#38
11.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed