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Red92
608135.5
96716.7
207540.9
Blue72
525623.8
956617.8
496727.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846640601001209272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.2
37.438.6
Auto14.4
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 13.2
4967
#10
27.70.0
26.426.4
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Second
6081
#15
35.51.2
30.631.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 11.7
23.80.0
19.719.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Third
9671
#35
6.71.2
6.17.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
blue by 11.1
9566
#14
17.80.0
15.715.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed