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Red40
546217.0
72034.9
92069.1
Blue61
920823.7
323416.9
612817.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247004060801004061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#24
17.00.5
15.415.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
blue by 6.7
23.70.1
24.424.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
9206
#20
9.10.5
7.58.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 8.1
6128
#19
17.20.1
14.914.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Third
7203
#36
4.90.5
4.65.1
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
blue by 12.0
3234
#21
16.90.1
18.718.5
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed