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Red46
72106.7
975611.8
28820.9
Blue49
556722.4
87678.8
400425.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3959020801004649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#13
20.90.6
19.520.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End2.2
blue by 4.4
4004
#12
25.30.1
22.122.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Second
9756
#25
11.80.6
11.111.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 10.6
5567
#26
22.40.1
20.620.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Third
7210
#27
6.70.6
7.17.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 2.0
8767
#28
8.80.1
8.48.2
Auto1.4
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed