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Red37
85820.8
79118.9
52606.9
Blue44
95429.1
608135.5
724810.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325802040801003744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#5
20.80.0
17.117.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 14.7
6081
#15
35.50.5
31.831.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
7911
#22
8.90.0
8.68.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 1.2
7248
#32
10.00.5
9.18.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
5260
#37
6.90.0
6.06.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 2.2
9542
#33
9.10.5
8.68.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed