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Red87
400425.3
323416.9
28820.9
Blue52
505619.7
207540.9
72034.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769556065758085908752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#12
25.30.2
22.021.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
blue by 15.5
40.90.7
39.939.3
Auto14.4
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
288
#13
20.90.2
20.119.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End2.2
red by 1.2
5056
#17
19.70.7
16.816.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Third
3234
#21
16.90.2
18.518.4
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 12.0
7203
#36
4.90.7
5.14.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed