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Red81
28820.9
546217.0
611425.5
Blue90
496727.7
387522.2
765814.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69706065758085908190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.4
25.125.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 2.1
4967
#10
27.70.6
27.127.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Second
288
#13
20.90.4
20.520.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End2.2
blue by 1.3
22.20.6
21.722.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Third
5462
#24
17.00.4
16.617.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 2.4
7658
#18
14.60.6
14.114.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5