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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602502040801006311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
22.10.5
21.822.4
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 11.2
9662
#21
10.81.6
9.37.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Second
2145
#19
18.70.5
16.817.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 10.9
7202
#39
7.81.6
9.98.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
3618
#32
13.30.5
11.812.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 8.5
7818
#36
4.81.6
7.96.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed