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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6161455055657075806563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
23.40.0
22.422.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 1.8
1506
#11
21.50.1
21.921.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Second
21.00.0
20.020.0
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 2.1
18.90.0
19.219.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
3618
#32
13.30.0
12.312.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 0.5
6067
#16
13.80.0
14.114.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0