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Red141
7838.4
60452.1
948348.5
Blue135
632943.9
803338.8
271337.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15613250100200141135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
52.10.1
51.951.9
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
red by 8.2
6329
#22
43.90.3
44.644.8
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
Second
48.50.1
48.348.3
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
red by 9.7
38.80.3
39.439.7
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
Third
78
#28
38.40.1
38.138.2
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
red by 0.9
2713
#11
37.40.3
38.138.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5