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Red76
546117.1
354418.5
406332.2
Blue109
252236.7
172738.2
271337.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6414505010020025076109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#40
32.20.9
30.930.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End3.2
blue by 6.1
1727
#16
38.22.2
41.639.4
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
Second
3544
#51
18.50.9
18.817.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 19.0
2713
#11
37.42.2
41.539.3
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Third
5461
#61
17.10.9
18.017.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.1
blue by 19.5
2522
#15
36.72.2
38.336.2
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned