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Red45
96368.0
69028.6
621724.4
Blue98
353938.6
298723.7
353429.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391040501504598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6217
#25
24.40.2
25.425.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
blue by 14.3
38.60.8
35.836.5
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
Second
6902
#68
8.60.2
10.010.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 20.6
3534
#45
29.20.8
30.030.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Third
9636
#71
8.00.2
7.37.4
Auto0.7
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 15.7
2987
#24
23.70.8
20.921.6
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned