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Red104
589224.4
645941.4
440035.7
Blue119
307530.3
105834.2
17526.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11088406080100120140160104119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#44
41.40.5
39.339.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.4
End1.5
red by 7.2
1058
#46
34.21.8
30.332.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.6
End1.7
Second
4400
#43
35.70.5
34.735.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
red by 5.4
3075
#37
30.31.8
27.529.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End4.2
Third
5892
#69
24.40.5
22.923.4
Auto10.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 2.2
175
#47
26.61.8
24.626.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed