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Red85
674022.5
450114.7
173145.8
Blue116
428528.9
953532.6
11444.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86121406010014016018085116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.1
45.946.0
Auto14.9
Teleop24.5
End6.4
red by 1.6
114
#7
44.20.1
45.245.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End4.2
Second
6740
#72
22.50.1
21.721.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 10.0
32.60.1
32.732.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
4501
#63
14.70.1
14.314.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 14.2
4285
#50
28.90.1
27.227.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned