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Red102
645941.4
141027.4
674022.5
Blue122
680044.1
131839.1
252236.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9213250150200102122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#44
41.40.8
39.840.6
Auto11.5
Teleop28.4
End1.5
blue by 2.7
44.10.5
41.241.6
Auto13.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Second
1410
#64
27.40.8
26.627.4
Auto12.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 11.7
39.10.5
37.638.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Third
6740
#72
22.50.8
21.722.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 14.1
2522
#15
36.70.5
36.236.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed82%Ensemble oddsEarned