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Red57
46308.9
884011.7
745741.7
Blue70
742817.4
207332.9
621724.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66900501001505770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#18
41.70.4
41.140.7
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End5.8
red by 8.8
2073
#21
32.91.2
34.132.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Second
8840
#49
11.70.4
12.011.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 12.7
6217
#25
24.41.2
25.624.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
4630
#65
8.90.4
9.28.9
Auto5.8
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 8.5
7428
#52
17.41.2
18.617.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned