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Red51
22627.1
307530.3
65862.5
Blue56
141027.4
69028.6
145818.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635602040801005156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#37
30.30.3
25.725.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End4.2
red by 2.9
1410
#64
27.40.0
28.328.3
Auto12.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Second
226
#57
27.10.3
26.826.5
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 8.9
1458
#74
18.20.0
18.018.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End0.6
Third
6586
#75
2.50.3
3.43.1
Auto0.3
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 6.0
6902
#68
8.60.0
5.45.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed