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Red98
261135.6
159140.1
21926.2
Blue77
260923.4
17526.6
745741.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109894060801001201401609877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#19
40.10.1
34.634.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.9
End3.8
blue by 1.6
7457
#18
41.70.4
36.235.8
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End5.8
Second
2611
#27
35.60.1
34.734.8
Auto12.8
Teleop21.5
End1.3
red by 9.0
175
#47
26.60.4
26.526.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Third
219
#38
26.20.1
27.127.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
red by 2.9
2609
#59
23.40.4
20.119.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed68%Ensemble oddsMissed