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Red82
776335.0
7028.4
546117.1
Blue92
261437.7
21926.2
128820.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89830501001502008292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7763
#26
35.00.6
30.029.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End0.2
blue by 2.8
2614
#29
37.71.0
35.136.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
70
#34
28.40.6
29.829.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End5.3
red by 2.2
219
#38
26.21.0
26.227.1
Auto10.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Third
5461
#61
17.10.6
20.019.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.1
blue by 2.8
1288
#13
20.01.0
14.415.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed