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Red105
268922.2
406332.2
645941.4
Blue124
207332.9
801916.0
261437.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90917080100110120105124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#44
41.41.4
34.335.7
Auto11.5
Teleop28.4
End1.5
red by 3.7
2614
#29
37.72.9
36.439.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
4063
#40
32.21.4
29.330.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End3.2
blue by 0.7
2073
#21
32.92.9
29.131.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Third
2689
#62
22.21.4
18.720.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.1
red by 6.1
8019
#60
16.02.9
15.618.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed