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Red97
105834.2
11444.2
252236.7
Blue105
172738.2
261135.6
412526.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110905015020097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#7
44.21.1
41.140.1
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End4.2
red by 6.0
1727
#16
38.20.4
40.339.9
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
Second
2522
#15
36.71.1
35.834.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
red by 1.0
2611
#27
35.60.4
34.834.4
Auto12.8
Teleop21.5
End1.3
Third
1058
#46
34.21.1
31.029.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.6
End1.7
red by 7.4
4125
#54
26.80.4
25.324.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed