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Red57
260923.4
46308.9
406332.2
Blue114
776335.0
450114.7
139138.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6386204010012014057114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#40
32.20.2
30.730.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End3.2
blue by 6.7
1391
#20
38.82.6
35.738.3
Auto11.2
Teleop24.5
End3.1
Second
2609
#59
23.40.2
20.420.2
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End0.8
blue by 11.6
7763
#26
35.02.6
28.831.4
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End0.2
Third
4630
#65
8.90.2
8.98.7
Auto5.8
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 5.8
4501
#63
14.72.6
10.312.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed