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Red96
153319.1
717430.8
60452.1
Blue76
173033.2
261437.7
412526.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810880901001201301409676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
52.10.2
50.250.0
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
red by 14.4
2614
#29
37.71.3
39.338.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
7174
#30
30.80.2
29.929.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 2.5
1730
#17
33.21.3
31.630.3
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Third
1533
#56
19.10.2
18.718.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
blue by 7.8
4125
#54
26.81.3
24.923.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned