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Qual 52024 Milstein Division
Red73
293033.9
145818.2
953532.6
Blue74
159140.1
412526.8
268922.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91860501502002503007374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#23
33.90.8
32.5→31.7
Auto13.8
Teleop16.6
End3.5
blue by 6.2
1591
#19
40.10.3
34.9→34.6
Auto14.4
Teleop21.9
End3.8
Second
9535
#8
32.60.8
30.4→29.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 5.7
4125
#54
26.80.3
24.9→24.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Third
1458
#74
18.20.8
18.8→18.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End0.6
blue by 4.0
2689
#62
22.20.3
19.0→18.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed