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Red105
884011.7
150135.9
717430.8
Blue76
546117.1
11444.2
22627.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8597406012014016010576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#31
35.91.2
35.937.0
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
blue by 8.4
114
#7
44.20.7
42.041.3
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End4.2
Second
7174
#30
30.81.2
29.730.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 3.7
226
#57
27.10.7
26.025.3
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
8840
#49
11.71.2
12.713.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 5.5
5461
#61
17.10.7
18.217.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed