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Red73
945819.7
252236.7
268922.2
Blue151
440035.7
60452.1
111440.8
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6613705010015020073151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#15
36.70.3
34.234.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
blue by 15.4
604
#1
52.11.6
50.051.5
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
Second
2689
#62
22.20.3
20.921.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.1
blue by 18.6
1114
#14
40.81.6
33.334.8
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End1.7
Third
9458
#66
19.70.3
12.913.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End0.3
blue by 16.0
4400
#43
35.71.6
32.233.8
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned