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Red74
69028.6
150135.9
260923.4
Blue106
105834.2
6735.5
128820.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698802040608010012014016074106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#31
35.90.4
37.037.4
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 0.4
67
#53
35.51.8
30.932.7
Auto12.5
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Second
2609
#59
23.40.4
20.420.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End0.8
blue by 10.8
1058
#46
34.21.8
30.031.7
Auto11.9
Teleop20.6
End1.7
Third
6902
#68
8.60.4
7.07.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 11.4
1288
#13
20.01.8
16.618.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed