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Red133
261437.7
353938.6
131839.1
Blue93
97648.9
440035.7
428528.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128675010015020013393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.3
35.736.9
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 3.4
4400
#43
35.71.0
33.834.8
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
Second
38.61.3
34.736.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
red by 9.8
4285
#50
28.91.0
26.527.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Third
2614
#29
37.71.3
38.439.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 28.8
9764
#55
8.91.0
7.68.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
89%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned