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Red132
252236.7
159140.1
945228.8
Blue59
432221.9
173033.2
65862.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10858015020013259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#19
40.12.7
33.736.4
Auto14.4
Teleop21.9
End3.8
red by 6.9
1730
#17
33.20.7
32.832.1
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Second
2522
#15
36.72.7
36.138.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
red by 14.8
4322
#32
21.90.7
21.120.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End0.8
Third
9452
#33
28.82.7
22.324.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End2.6
red by 26.2
6586
#75
2.50.7
4.23.4
Auto0.3
Teleop0.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsEarned