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Red94
22627.1
207332.9
298723.7
Blue93
440035.7
261135.6
153319.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210202040601201401609493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#21
32.91.0
33.034.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
blue by 2.8
4400
#43
35.70.4
34.834.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
Second
226
#57
27.11.0
24.025.0
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 8.5
2611
#27
35.60.4
37.637.2
Auto12.8
Teleop21.5
End1.3
Third
2987
#24
23.71.0
19.420.4
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 4.6
1533
#56
19.10.4
17.417.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed