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Red102
542722.3
776335.0
105834.2
Blue102
271337.4
801916.0
153319.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007950150102102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7763
#26
35.0
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End0.2
blue by 2.5
2713
#11
37.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Second
1058
#46
34.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.6
End1.7
red by 15.1
1533
#56
19.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
Third
5427
#36
22.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 6.3
8019
#60
16.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed