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Red127
7838.4
60452.1
948348.5
Blue104
632943.9
803338.8
271337.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713780100120180200220127104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
52.10.4
52.351.9
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
red by 8.2
6329
#22
43.90.8
45.945.1
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
Second
48.50.4
48.748.3
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
red by 9.7
38.80.8
40.739.9
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
Third
78
#28
38.40.4
38.638.1
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
red by 0.9
2713
#11
37.40.8
39.438.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5