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Red50
92256.0
213719.5
368821.2
Blue58
442224.2
353620.9
80418.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414901020306070805058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.3
15.516.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 3.0
24.20.8
19.119.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
19.51.3
12.613.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 1.4
20.90.8
14.114.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
9225
#35
6.01.3
10.011.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 2.9
8041
#29
8.91.4
10.211.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed