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Red40
361819.8
95688.4
96505.5
Blue23
77945.3
55098.3
26199.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362602060801004023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
14.715.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
red by 10.6
2619
#30
9.11.5
9.68.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Second
9568
#28
8.40.7
9.09.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.1
red by 0.1
5509
#27
8.31.5
7.66.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
9650
#32
5.50.4
7.88.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
red by 0.2
7794
#36
5.31.5
7.45.9
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned