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Red64
851713.4
92275.1
442224.2
Blue18
400314.5
554711.9
552514.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493902060801006418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
19.819.5
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 9.6
4003
#25
14.52.0
12.210.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Second
8517
#17
13.40.4
15.214.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 1.0
5525
#22
14.42.0
11.79.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
9227
#26
5.10.4
7.87.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 6.8
5547
#13
11.92.0
12.310.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed