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Red65
26199.1
191817.3
353620.9
Blue18
511015.3
60338.9
77945.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45250204060801006518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.1
16.918.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 5.7
5110
#24
15.31.0
10.39.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
1918
#19
17.31.9
13.115.0
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 8.4
6033
#37
8.91.0
8.77.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Third
2619
#30
9.11.9
8.19.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 3.8
7794
#36
5.31.0
5.94.9
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed