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Red61
400314.5
213719.5
511015.3
Blue25
608715.2
96505.5
59829.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060806125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.52.1
17.919.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 4.4
6087
#12
15.20.5
10.49.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Second
5110
#24
15.32.1
9.311.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 5.7
5982
#23
9.60.5
10.39.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Third
4003
#25
14.52.1
10.212.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 9.1
9650
#32
5.50.3
8.78.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed