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Red53
360320.7
78557.2
361819.8
Blue58
191817.3
552514.4
22466.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42391020305060705358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#21
20.71.1
16.317.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 3.4
1918
#19
17.30.8
16.116.9
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
19.80.7
16.417.1
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End3.0
red by 5.3
5525
#22
14.40.8
12.112.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
7855
#38
7.21.1
5.06.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
red by 1.1
2246
#34
6.10.8
7.58.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned