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Red48
60338.9
368821.2
59829.6
Blue33
550518.7
511015.3
66429.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385002060801004833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.7
19.920.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 2.5
5505
#11
18.71.1
19.518.4
Auto8.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
5982
#23
9.60.7
7.88.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
blue by 5.7
5110
#24
15.31.1
13.512.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
6033
#37
8.90.7
8.28.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 0.3
6642
#16
9.21.1
10.89.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed