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Red25
77945.3
400314.5
191817.3
Blue34
59829.6
524711.4
66429.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060802534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#19
17.32.1
16.914.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 5.9
5247
#33
11.40.8
9.58.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Second
4003
#25
14.52.1
17.415.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 4.9
5982
#23
9.60.8
10.09.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Third
7794
#36
5.32.1
9.67.5
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 3.9
6642
#16
9.20.8
9.68.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned