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Red43
78557.2
516621.2
55098.3
Blue52
353620.9
71557.1
92275.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343710203040504352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
21.20.2
19.119.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
red by 0.2
20.90.5
19.119.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Second
5509
#27
8.30.2
5.96.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 1.2
7155
#20
7.10.7
7.38.0
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Third
7855
#38
7.20.2
6.16.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.1
End0.8
red by 2.1
9227
#26
5.10.7
6.47.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned